SIGNAL GRIDv0.1

The 18-month gap between frontier and open-source AI models has shrunk to 6 months - what this means

1 sources1 storiesFirst seen 2/4/2026Score34Breakthrough
Single Source
CoverageRecencyEngagementVelocityBignessConfidenceClipability
Bigness
34
Coverage
13
Recency
87
Engagement
27
Velocity
0
Confidence
49
Clipability
50
Polarization
0
Claims
5
Contradictions
0
Breakthrough
100

Sentiment Mix

Positive0%
Neutral100%
Negative0%

Geography

North America

Expert Signals

hungry-for-things

author1 mention

r/artificial

source1 mention

AI-Generated Claims

Generated from linked receipts; click sources for full context.

The 18-month gap between frontier and open-source AI models has shrunk to 6 months - what this means.

Supported by 1 story

Ran a real-world test this week: Gemma 3 12B vs paid frontier models across actual business workflows.

Supported by 1 story

90% of tasks: no meaningful difference.

Supported by 1 story

5%: frontier models worth it (pay-per-use).

Supported by 1 story

5%: neither quite there yet.

Supported by 1 story

Related Events

Timeline (1 stories)

Receipts (1)

Bias Snapshot

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Socialreddit.com2/4/2026